Forecasting space weather risks on power grids

Extreme space weather events can damage power systems on Earth and degrade GPS accuracy and satellite operations. A new machine learning system can predict where damage is likely to occur 30 60 minutes before a storm arrives. The post Forecasting space weather risks on power grids appeared first on Microsoft Research .

Rohan Kannan ۶ دقیقه مطالعهمتن اصلی

GridSFM diagram depicting the workflow

At a glance

  • End-to-end forecasting: A machine learning pipeline uses forecast-time solar-wind information to generate location-specific risk estimates for 66,935 substations in the continental United States.
  • Physics and place: The system combines Auroral Electrojet (AE) and Disturbance Storm Time (Dst) forecasts with local latitude, geology, and ground conductivity.
  • Advance warning: The pipeline detected nearly 80% of major space-weather events during the evaluation period and can warn grid operators 30 to 60 minutes before a specific risk appears.

Forecasting a threat to critical infrastructure

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